Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released on Friday showed that total employment in the United States is expected to increase from 153.5 million to 165.4 million from 2020 to 2030. That would mean an increase of 11.9 million jobs to across the country, an increase of 7.7%.
Much of this, according to BLS data, comes in the form of 9.3 million jobs attributed to the recovery from COVID-19 versus low base year employment for 2020 and recession. associated with it.
BLS data is not broken down by state or region for these projections. Other data from the BLS, however, shows the savings to the current state.
According to this data, the civilian workforce in Virginia has hovered around 4,235 in the past six months. It went from 4,238,000 to 4,247,000 between March and August of this year. With that, the employment figures for the last six months, starting in March and ending in August, were 4,023,000; 4,028,000; 4,040,000; 4,050,000; 4,065,000; and 4,078,000.
During the same period, Virginia’s unemployment rate fell from 5.1% to 4%.
Local leaders said they believe the northern Shenandoah Valley is also ripe for future growth.
Patrick Barker, executive director of the Frederick County Economic Development Authority, said current COVID-19 economic forecast data for Winchester and Frederick County indicates 10,765 new jobs expected in addition to the current 60,879 jobs in that region.
Barker said data showed accommodation / food services, health care / social assistance, transportation / warehousing and manufacturing were sectors expected to add more than 1,000 employees to the to come up.
“Obviously, these screenings are very aggressive screenings and the success of achieving and possibly exceeding them will depend heavily on our community’s ability to work collaboratively to create, retain and attract talent from all walks of life. career, ”said Barker.
“As we examine the expected employment growth in the Shenandoah Valley and Shenandoah County, at the local level, we strive to strike a balance between this growth in economic investment and population while preserving the rural landscape which is what so much value here in Shenandoah County, ”said Jenna French, director of tourism and marketing for Shenandoah County. “It requires good planning and strategic partnerships. As we embark on the drafting of the 2045 Global Plan, the county has an excellent team ready to implement this vision and we are striking this balance to ensure a bright future for the county. “
The BLS predicts that most jobs across the country will come in healthcare support, personal care and service, food preparation and service, computer and math work, arts, design, entertainment, sports and media.
The areas most affected are production, sales, and administrative and office support.
Healthcare support, personal care / service, food preparation and service related occupations are expected to experience rapid employment growth, mainly due to the post-dismal job recovery of the year baseline 2020, according to the report.
Computer and math occupations are expected to experience rapid employment growth as high demand is expected for computer security and software development, in part due to the increase in telecommuting spurred by COVID-19, also explained The report.
The fastest growing occupations through 2030, which exclude occupations with an above-average cyclical recovery, are expected to include wind turbine service technicians, nurse practitioners, solar PV installers, statisticians and physiotherapy assistants. The fastest-declining occupations are expected to include word processors / typists, parking enforcement officers, nuclear reactor operators, cutters and telephone operators.